彈弓手之謎
Fans expectations review18-03-2008
Fans expectations have changed the way your fans react to match results. As a butterfly effect it has also changed the dynamics of your arena attendance, which indeed was one of the reasons why we introduced it in the first place. But be assured, we are also keeping an eye on the formulas to make sure they are working as intended. Some things, like lower attendance figures than you’re used to, were expected. Other things need to be further improved, like for example your fans’ expectations for the cup.
With many users reporting lower attendances than usual during the first weeks, we would like to point that this is an expected consequence of the new system. Fans expectations is designed to reduce the drastic mood swing of fans, where fans only react to the last game played. Right now, we are at the start of the season, where many teams are used to build up their fan mood by a string of easy cup wins. With fan expectations in place fans are taking a more realistic view of these wins. As a result, fan mood is not boosted as quickly and this impacts the attendance of the league games as well. At later stages of the season, when fan mood have risen in general and when many teams have rearranged their arenas with more seats under roof, we should see higher attendance figures in general than what we have seen so far.
Less impact from away fans
In the past when both the home and away fans were in a good mood we saw high attendance figures, and typically we saw a lot of such games being played in the beginning of the season. Because the away fans have less impact today, these games get less attendance this season.
On the other hand, matches where the away fans are in a bad mood (but home fans are happy) will see higher attendance than we're used to. But most such matches aren't played at season start, they are yet to happen.
First rounds matter less
It is also the case that your fans are less concerned about the results of the first few rounds of the league. The impact of results to fan mood increase each week at the start of the season, and this means it takes a little longer to reach euphoria at the start of the season. This rising fan interest is a way to decrease the importance of the league schedule - without this mechanic, a team that starts at home would keep a theoretical fan mood advantage throughout the season, compared to rivals that started with an away game. Today, it matters very little in what order you play your games, the actual results are what matters.
Income is about the same
Enough about fan mood and attendance figures, at the end of the day it’s attendance income which really matters. You might think that the lower attendance figures would lead to lower income, but there is in fact no such indication in general. Average income in the system remains the same, it even went up a little bit. In bigger leagues we have experienced an attendance income drop of around 5% though. What we can see is that teams playing in the top 5 divisions in big countries are making less money compared to last season, while teams in lower divisions are having the same or higher income. The main reason for this is that top division teams’ fans are taking a more realistic view of easy cup wins (as explained above), but also because of the wealth of these teams. We will continue to follow the economical effects of this change, especially as we expect many teams to rearrange their arenas and build more seats under roof during the season.
Cup expectation tweak
One problem that we saw, and that we now have changed for the fourth cup round, was how fan expectations for cup games were calculated. Teams in big leagues have been at a disadvantage, since fan expectations for the cup were calculated based on the seasonal expectations (which among other things take the number of league levels between two teams into calculation). A division 2 team in Germany that takes on a division 6 team is in effect taking on a mid-level team in his league, whereas a division 2 team from Venezuela that is facing a division 6 team is taking on a team from the absolute bottom of the league.
We have now added a factor for this into the fan expectations, making fans understand better what kind of teams they are up for in the cup. This will level out the effect between countries with different sizes, making it more realistic and well-balanced.
HT-Tjecken 太長, 唔想睇, 即係物價繼續上漲? :onion7: 原帖由 leewaikei23 於 2008-3-1806:09 PM 發表 http://www.hkcmforum.com/images/common/back.gif
太長, 唔想睇, 即係物價繼續上漲? :onion7:
基本上佢乜都冇講過, review only 即将进行的比赛
日期 球队 期望
19-03-2008 11.00 (杯赛) Sha Tin - kch'team 小菜一碟！
22-03-2008 08.30 (联赛) Tuen Mun FC - kch'team 可能会输
29-03-2008 08.30 (联赛) kch'team - Super-X 应该会是势均力敌的局面:onion7: 起多5000個有蓋先sosad 原帖由 terry1225 於 2008-3-1808:13 PM 發表 http://hkcmforum.com/images/common/back.gif
起多5000個有蓋先sosad
x2:onion7: Income is about the same
Enough about fan mood and attendance figures, at the end of the day it’s attendance income which really matters. You might think that the lower attendance figures would lead to lower income, but there is in fact no such indication in general. Average income in the system remains the same, it even went up a little bit. In bigger leagues we have experienced an attendance income drop of around 5% though. What we can see is that teams playing in the top 5 divisions in big countries are making less money compared to last season, while teams in lower divisions are having the same or higher income. The main reason for this is that top division teams’ fans are taking a more realistic view of easy cup wins (as explained above), but also because of the wealth of these teams. We will continue to follow the economical effects of this change, especially as we expect many teams to rearrange their arenas and build more seats under roof during the season.
完全感覺唔到:icon101: 原帖由 WainSeven 於 2008-3-1912:19 PM 發表 http://hkcmforum.com/images/common/back.gif
Income is about the same
Enough about fan mood and attendance figures, at the end of the day it’s attendance income which really matters. You might think that the lower attendance figures would lead...
你係D6咩?:onion7: 原帖由 secret 於 2008-3-1912:52 PM 發表 http://hkcm.hkehost.net/images/common/back.gif
你係D6咩?:onion7:
bot隊/npc隊既資金會流入轉會市場嗎:onion7: 原帖由 WainSeven 於 2008-3-1912:58 PM 發表 http://hkcmforum.com/images/common/back.gif
bot隊/npc隊既資金會流入轉會市場嗎:onion7:
人地講ge野無錯:onion7:
而且人地係宏觀咁睇,好多地方D6,7,8,9都係人隊黎:onion7: 球迷期望审查
18-03-2008
球迷期望改变了您的球迷对于比赛结果的反应，它的蝴蝶效应导致球场上座率有变，这其实也是我们出台球迷期望的原因之一。请您放心，我们在关注所有相关公式，确保它们按照计划发挥应有的作用。较低的上座率是预料中事，而其他的，如对杯赛的期望则还需加以改进。
有许多玩家报告说在赛季的首几个星期的球场上座率比平常来的低，这其实是我们预料中事，是新系统带来的后果。新球迷期望的设计是为了不让球迷情绪只受上一场比赛的结果影响而在两极间剧烈摇摆。此时此刻，新赛季才刚开始，很多球队都是藉由一连串轻松的杯赛捷报堆积球迷情绪。随着新球迷期望的出台，球迷对胜利抱着更为谨慎和务实的态度。结果球迷情绪不再那么容易受鼓舞，也因此影响了联赛的上座率。随着赛季的进展，当球迷的情绪普遍提升后，以及大多数球队重整球场座位安排加插更多有顶座位后，大家应该会看到上座率普遍上升。
客队球迷影响减少
以前当主客双方球迷的情绪高昂时，上座率也跟着飚高，一般上这都发生在赛季初。随着这个赛季客队球迷的影响减低，此景不再。
另一方面，主队球迷情绪高昂但客队球迷低落的比赛则会有比往常更高的上座率。不过由于这一类的比赛不常发生于赛季初，因此我们还未看到。
首几轮联赛影响不大
您的球迷不怎么关注首几轮联赛结果。比赛结果对球迷情绪的影响随着赛季的进行而每周逐渐增加，要在赛季初就让球迷感到幸福要难得多。这个设计的目的是不让联赛赛程影响球迷情绪，要不然在赛季首轮比赛坐镇主场的球队理论上来说会因此而整个赛季都有良好的球迷情绪，这对首场比赛打客场的球队不公平。这样一来，赛程并不重要，实际比赛结果才能影响球迷情绪。
收入是大致一样的
说了那么多相关球迷情绪和上座率，其实最终还是收入最重要。您可能觉得低上座率导致低收入，其实不然。我们的数据显示系统中的平均收入其实更高了。在一些 HT 大国中我们发现收入下跌大约 5% 左右。在 HT 大国中五大顶级联赛球队的收入比上个赛季少，而低级联赛球队的收入则持平或更高。主要的原因是顶级联赛球队的球迷对球队在杯赛的轻松胜利抱着谨慎务实的姿态(如上文所解释)，同时这些球队本身所累计的资产也进一步影响球迷。我们会继续关注这变动的经济效应，尤其当大多数球队在预料中重新安排球场加建有顶座位后。
杯赛期望轻微调整
我们发现并已更改球迷对杯赛的期望这个问题。新变动将于第四轮杯赛见效。 HT 大国中的球队以往处于不利位置，因为计算杯赛球迷期望的公式是基于赛季总期望(公式中包括两队之间的联赛级别差距)。一支德国第二级联赛球队对垒第六级联赛球队就如对垒其联赛中游球队一样；而来自委内瑞拉第二级联赛球队对垒第六级联赛球队就像对垒其联赛中垫底的球队。
我们如今将这因素也并列入球迷期望中，让球迷更理解球队面对的杯赛对手是谁。这将消除不同 HT 国家中联赛级别数目不同的差别影响，且更为实际和平均。
HT-Tjecken
:onion7: :onion7: :onion7:
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